Start with the economics.
Assess the forces changing productive capacity, financial conditions and investment outcomes. Our macro-financial framework provides the connection from climate shocks to portfolio impacts.
GATE Macro Climate Risk Model ©
Understand what
climate change means
for your portfolios.
An institutional multi-asset macro risk engine
meets climate risks.
Quantify risks and opportunities across climate scenarios. Trace the economic transmission. Understand what drives every result.
A connected viewExplore each layer ↘
Explore climate scenarios with different levels of physical and transition risk. See how each scenario shapes the economic outlook.
A conversation, built around you
Let’s explore what this
means for your portfolio.
Leave your email and we’ll get in touch to discuss our model, research or investment offering.
The investment perspective
Climate as
a macro risk.
Climate change and the energy transition reshape growth, inflation and interest rates. Changing relationships across asset classes create new risks—and new investment opportunities.
Understand the exposure.
High-quality global data and in-house research underpin proprietary exposure scores across countries, industries and companies. See where vulnerabilities and opportunities sit.
Challenge every assumption.
Compare climate scenarios and tailor stress tests around your investment questions. Our experts explain what drives each result and work alongside you to interpret the analysis.
Climate scenario analysis
Different scenarios.
Different economic paths.
Explore how the timing of the transition and physical disruption can change the economic transmission. A common framework connects GDP, inflation and the assets you hold.
GDP impact
Deviation from baselineNear termLonger term
Inflation path
Price pressuresNear termLonger term
Ambitious climate policies
Ambitious climate policies can bring a sharper initial adjustment as the economy decarbonises, while limiting long-term physical damage and the lasting impact on GDP.
Conceptual demonstration
Portfolios and balance sheets
One framework.
Your investment universe.
Designed for institutional asset managers, insurers, pension funds, fund allocators and investment professionals.
Equity portfolios
From company exposure
to earnings and valuations.
Translate country, industry and company exposures into earnings and valuation impacts, combining cash-flow effects with changes in discount rates.
EarningsDiscount ratesValuations
Additional asset classes coming soon. Our experts can develop dedicated models tailored to your investment universe and requirements.
Analysis built around you
What you
can expect.
From the macroeconomic outlook to the portfolio in your hands. Tangible analysis, tailored reporting and direct access to the experts behind the model.
Macroeconomic scenario analysis
Country- and industry-level analysis across climate scenarios, including GDP and inflation paths.
Portfolio exposure breakdowns
Country, industry and issuer exposures, with comparisons against your benchmark.
Financial impact comparisons
Scenario comparisons showing impacts on earnings, valuations, interest rates and credit risk.
Tailored stress tests
Sensitivity analysis to challenge assumptions and assess portfolio and balance-sheet resilience.
Reports and expert interpretation
Analysis for investment discussions, risk committees and regulatory reporting, developed in close dialogue with our experts.
Expertise and scientific depth
Original research.
Institutional experience.
Our team brings PhD research and publications in leading academic journals, alongside practical experience in central banking, institutional investment and global macro strategy.
A rigorous reading
of the economic evidence.
Empirically calibrated relationships underpin the macro-financial framework. Our experts connect economic research with the realities of portfolio construction and risk management.
Investment experience
in the energy transition.
Our in-house decarbonisation expertise is grounded in our funds’ investments in the energy transition.
A broader perspective.
A stronger challenge.
Our scientific board combines expertise in central banking, energy and climate science to review, challenge and validate our research.
Independent thinking. Close client partnership.
Clear conclusions, grounded in evidence and free from competing commercial interests. Direct dialogue with our specialists, with tailored scenarios, analysis and reporting.
Regulatory and fiduciary context
Designed to support climate-risk assessment and fiduciary oversight. Our economic and financial risk perspective reflects NGFS scenario analysis, FINMA’s supervisory framework and EIOPA’s balance-sheet perspective.
Let’s connect
Let’s discuss your
investment needs.
Connect with our experts to discuss your portfolios, investment objectives and how we can tailor our analysis to your needs.
info@gatemacroclimate.com Download the model overview